Tax intelligence
Exit taxes: what it costs to leave
A dozen developed countries charge you for the privilege of ceasing to be their taxpayer, most by treating you as if you sold everything you own on the way out. The US version is the most severe, the most misunderstood, and the one where a EUR 1 error in a net worth calculation can cost seven figures.
What is actually true
- The US covered expatriate test under IRC §877A has three parts, and failing any one of them makes you covered. First, the net worth test. This means net worth of USD 2,000,000 or more on the expatriation date, a statutory figure that is not inflation-adjusted and has not moved since 2008. That is why it now catches ordinary professionals who simply own a house and a pension. Second, the average annual net income tax test. This looks at average annual net income tax for the five years ending before expatriation, and the threshold is USD 211,000 for 2026, up from USD 206,000 for 2025, per Rev. Proc. 2025-32 §4.37. It is worth noting this is net income tax, not income. Third, the certification test. This is triggered by failing to certify on Form 8854 five years of full US federal tax compliance. This part catches people who clear the first two tests comfortably, and it is the most common route to covered status for those who are simply disorganized.
- For 2026 the mark-to-market exclusion is USD 910,000, up from USD 890,000 for 2025 (Rev. Proc. 2025-32 §4.38, under §877A(a)(3)). It applies to your NET gain across all mark-to-market assets in aggregate, not asset by asset. USD 1.2m of gains against USD 400,000 of losses comes to USD 800,000 net, which falls entirely within the exclusion.
- Form 8854 is the mechanism for everything. It carries the certification, the balance sheet, and the deemed-sale computation. It is due when the income tax return for the year of expatriation is due. Failing to file it when required carries a USD 10,000 penalty. Far worse, it means you cannot make the five-year certification, which makes you covered regardless of your wealth.
- The dual-national-from-birth exception is narrow, and both conditions must be met. You must have become at birth a citizen of the US AND of another country, and you must continue, as at the expatriation date, to be a citizen of, and taxed as a resident of, that other country. You must also have been a US resident for not more than 10 of the 15 tax years ending with the year of expatriation. The condition that trips up most claimants is being taxed as a resident of that other country. Holding a second passport from birth is not enough if you are not currently tax-resident there. A parallel exception exists for certain minors who expatriate before age 18½.
- Not everything is marked to market. §877A(c) carves out deferred compensation items, specified tax deferred accounts, and interests in non-grantor trusts of which you were a beneficiary the day before expatriation. These are handled instead by withholding: 30% on taxable payments from eligible deferred compensation, and 30% on the taxable portion of non-grantor trust distributions to a covered expatriate — with the trust recognising gain as if it had sold the distributed property at fair market value. Specified tax deferred accounts are treated as fully distributed on the day before expatriation. Form W-8CE notifies the payor.
- The US exit tax does not end when you leave. Under IRC §2801, a US person who receives a covered gift or bequest from a covered expatriate owes tax at the highest estate and gift rate, 40%, on the value above the annual exclusion (USD 19,000 for 2025 and 2026). The recipient pays it, on Form 708, due the fifteenth day of the eighteenth month after the close of the calendar year of receipt. Final regulations were published 14 January 2025 and apply to covered gifts and bequests received on or after 1 January 2025. This charge never expires. A covered expatriate's US-resident grandchildren can still be exposed decades later.
- Most of the developed world relies on deemed disposal instead, though the deferral rules vary widely. Canada, Australia and Norway deem a sale outright. Germany, Spain, France and the Netherlands charge tax on shareholdings above a threshold. Several jurisdictions allow indefinite deferral within the EU/EEA. The pattern worth watching for is dry income, tax owed on gains you have never actually realized in cash.
Jurisdiction by jurisdiction
- United States high
- Under §877A, you count as a covered expatriate if any one of three things is true. Your net worth is USD 2,000,000 or more, a threshold that is not indexed and has not changed since 2008. Your average annual net income tax for the prior 5 years exceeds USD 211,000 for 2026 (USD 206,000 for 2025). Or you fail to certify 5 years of tax compliance on Form 8854. Once you are covered, the IRS treats your worldwide assets as sold at fair market value the day before expatriation, though a net gain exclusion applies: USD 910,000 for 2026 (USD 890,000 for 2025). Deferred compensation, specified tax deferred accounts and non-grantor trust interests sit outside this mark-to-market rule. Instead, they face a 30% withholding tax. Separately, §2801 taxes any US recipient of a later gift or bequest from you at 40%, and that rule never expires. There is an exception for dual nationals from birth, but it is narrow. It requires citizenship of, and current tax residence in, the other country from birth, plus US residence in no more than 10 of the last 15 years.
- Canada high
- Canada's departure tax, under section 128.1 of the ITA, treats most of your property as sold at fair market value the moment you emigrate. A few things are excluded from this deemed disposition: Canadian real property, RRSPs, RRIFs, TFSAs and Canadian pensions, all of which are taxed later under separate rules. Capital gains are taxed at a 50% inclusion rate against your marginal rate. Form T1243 reports the deemed disposition, and Form T1161 lists all worldwide property if its total fair market value exceeded CAD 25,000. You can defer payment by election on Form T1244, without interest, until you actually dispose of the property. But security is required once federal tax on the deemed disposition exceeds CAD 16,500 (CAD 13,777.50 for former Quebec residents). No security is required on the first CAD 100,000 of deemed gains.
- Norway high
- This is the most aggressive exit tax regime in Europe, and it has been tightened repeatedly since 2022. It applies to latent gains on shares, securities fund units, share savings accounts and endowment insurance, with a NOK 3,000,000 basic deduction applied to the aggregate latent gain. The effective rate is approximately 37.84% (22% applied to the gain, grossed up by a 1.72 factor). Under rules effective 20 November 2024, the tax must be paid within 12 years even if nothing is ever realised. You can pay now, pay in interest-free instalments over 12 years, or defer the whole amount for 12 years with interest. Moving within the EEA lets you net gains and losses before the deduction applies. Move outside the EEA, and only gains are counted, losses are ignored. The tax is waived if you resume Norwegian residence within the 12 years.
- Germany high
- This is Germany's Wegzugsteuer under §6 AStG. It applies if you hold 1% or more of a corporation and were German tax resident for at least 7 of the last 12 years. The law treats this as a deemed sale at fair market value. Under the partial-income method, 60% of the gain is taxed at progressive rates, for an effective rate of roughly 28.5%. The rules widened materially from 1 January 2025. The Annual Tax Act 2024 extended exit taxation to units in (special) investment funds held as private assets, under §19(3) and §49(5) InvStG. This is triggered at 1% of issued units or an acquisition cost of at least EUR 500,000, and taxed at 25%. You can apply for deferral in seven annual instalments. In practice, this is a classic case of dry-income exposure, tax owed on a gain you have not actually received in cash.
- Spain medium
- Spain's exit tax, under art. 95 bis LIRPF, applies if you have been resident there for at least 10 of the previous 15 tax periods and hold shares worth more than EUR 4,000,000, or a stake above 25% in a company whose shares exceed EUR 1,000,000. Unrealised gains are taxed the moment your residence ends. The charge is immediate only if you move outside the EU/EEA. Moves within the EU/EEA get an automatic deferral, though that deferral ends if you later leave the EU/EEA or sell the shares within 10 years.
- Netherlands high
- The Netherlands issues a conserverende aanslag, a protective assessment, when you emigrate. It covers Box 2 substantial-interest holdings of 5% or more, along with annuities and pension reserves. Here is the point most people miss. For anyone who emigrated after 15 September 2015, the deferral is indefinite. The assessment does not lapse after 10 years. That old 10-year expiry has been abolished. The tax becomes payable only when you dispose of the assets or surrender them. If you move within the EU/EEA, deferral is automatic and no security is required. If you move outside it, security is mandatory. Pension-related assessments are taxed at Box 1's progressive rates, up to 49.5%.
- France medium
- France applies an exit tax on unrealised gains from substantial shareholdings, if you have been resident in France for at least 6 of the previous 10 years. In practice, it is fairly forgiving. Moves to the EU/EEA, or to treaty states with administrative assistance arrangements, qualify for automatic deferral. The charge is cancelled outright, and any prepayment refunded, if you return to France still holding the assets, or if you keep holding them through the monitoring period. The real risk is procedural, not substantive. Miss the departure return, or one of the annual monitoring filings, and the entire liability can become due immediately.
- Australia medium
- CGT event I1 triggers when you stop being an Australian resident. At that point, the law treats you as having sold, at market value, everything you own that does not count as taxable Australian property. Taxable Australian property, or TAP, means chiefly Australian real property and related interests, as defined in s. 855-15 ITAA 1997. You can elect under s. 104-165(2) to set aside that deemed sale. If you do, those assets are instead treated as TAP until a later CGT event occurs, or until you resume residence. That means Australia keeps the right to tax them indefinitely. The election applies to every affected asset together. You cannot pick and choose which ones to include.
- The USD 2m net worth threshold for the United States has never been adjusted for inflation. It has stood since 2008. Inflation alone has turned it into a middle-class number. If you own a paid-off house in a major city, plus a pension and a brokerage account, assume you are over the line. Plan accordingly.
- The certification test is where people get caught off guard. Someone worth USD 400,000 with unfiled FBARs or a missed Form 5471 becomes a covered expatriate on that ground alone, no matter what the other two tests show. Clean up your compliance before you expatriate. Once you have left, there is no fixing it.
- §2801 is permanent, and it taxes the wrong person. Your US-resident children and grandchildren pay 40% on gifts and bequests from you for the rest of their lives, filed on Form 708, with no expiration date. Exit-tax models routinely leave it out, yet it is often the largest number in the whole calculation.
- The dual-national exception usually fails on the tax-residence requirement, not the citizenship one. Take a dual US/Irish citizen from birth who lives in Dubai. They do not qualify, because they are not taxed as a resident of Ireland.
- Green card holders face this exposure once they have held the card for 8 of the past 15 years. See citizenship-based-taxation for details. Long-term residents get the same treatment under §877A as citizens do.
- Dry income is the structural risk running through every deemed-disposal regime. Germany, Norway and Canada will tax gains you have not realised, and may never realise. Norway's 12-year hard payment deadline means the bill arrives whether or not the asset was ever sold. It does not matter whether the asset still has any value.
- Illiquid and private assets are where the practical problems start. Valuing a private company, a fund carry or a property portfolio at fair market value on a single date is where the disputes live. An aggressive valuation is where the penalties live.
- The Dutch 10-year lapse is a myth for anyone who left after 15 September 2015. Advice written before that date, and a great deal of internet commentary, gets this wrong. The assessment now follows you for life.
- Timing an exit around a liquidity event cuts both ways. Leave before a sale and you may be marked to market on a paper value. Leave after and you pay full domestic tax on the realised gain. There is no general answer here, only a calculation specific to your situation.
- Several regimes reverse if you come back. Norway waives its charge within 12 years. France cancels on return. Australia's election unwinds if you resume residence. If the move might not be permanent, that changes the analysis in a real way.
Frequently asked
How much is the US exit tax if I give up my citizenship?
For most people who renounce, the answer is nothing. The charge falls only on someone the law defines as a covered expatriate. If you are one, the US treats you as having sold your worldwide assets at fair market value the day before you leave. It then taxes the net gain across all mark-to-market assets above USD 910,000 for 2026 (USD 890,000 for 2025). Below that exclusion, the deemed sale produces no bill. The exclusion is net, not asset by asset.
What actually makes you a covered expatriate?
You are caught if you fail any one of three tests under IRC §877A. The first is net worth: USD 2,000,000 or more on the expatriation date, a figure that has not been indexed since 2008. The second is average annual net income tax, not income, over the prior five years. That figure must exceed USD 211,000 for 2026, or USD 206,000 for 2025. The third is failing to certify five years of full US tax compliance on Form 8854. You only need to fail one of the three. You do not need to fail all of them.
I'm not wealthy. Can the exit tax still catch me?
Yes, through the third test. Someone worth USD 400,000 with unfiled FBARs or a missed Form 5471 becomes a covered expatriate on the certification test alone, regardless of the net worth and income tests. You must certify five years of full US compliance on Form 8854. If you cannot, you are covered. Clean up your filings before you expatriate. Once you have left, the door is shut.
Do green card holders have to pay the US exit tax too?
Yes, once you have held the card for 8 of the last 15 years. Long-term residents at that point get the same §877A treatment as citizens, and the same three covered-expatriate tests apply. That means USD 2,000,000 net worth, average net income tax above USD 211,000 for 2026, or failure to certify five years of compliance on Form 8854. Hold the card for fewer than 8 of 15 years, and expatriation tax generally does not apply.
I've been a dual citizen since birth. Am I exempt?
Possibly, but the exception is narrow, and both conditions must hold. You must have become a citizen of the US and of another country at birth, and you must remain, on the expatriation date, a citizen of that other country and taxed as a resident there. You must also have been US-resident for no more than 10 of the last 15 years. The tax-residence condition is where most claims fail. A US/Irish citizen from birth living in Dubai would not qualify.
If I renounce, can I still leave money to my kids in the US?
You can, but the cost may fall on them rather than you. Under IRC §2801, a US recipient of a gift or bequest from a covered expatriate pays tax at the top estate/gift rate of 40% on the value above the annual exclusion (USD 19,000 for 2025 and 2026), reported on Form 708. The charge is permanent and it lands on the recipient. Your US-resident grandchildren remain exposed decades later.